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Ether supply squeeze looms with exchanges holding lowest levels since 2015
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Ether supply squeeze looms with exchanges holding lowest levels since 2015

Dec 7Enhanced Dec 8

Ether exchange balances dropped to a record low of 8.7% as more ETH moved into staking and custody, setting up a potential supply squeeze.

Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is currently on the cusp of a significant supply shift, as the volume of ETH held on centralized exchanges has plunged to its lowest point since 2015. According to recent data, only 8.7% of the available Ether supply remains on exchange wallets, a stark contrast to historical norms. This unprecedented decline heralds a potential squeeze on ETH liquidity that may influence price dynamics in the near term.

The decreasing exchange balances are largely attributed to a growing number of investors opting to stake their Ether in the Ethereum 2.0 network or transfer their holdings to custody solutions offering enhanced security. This trend indicates a structural shift where holders are more inclined to lock up assets for passive income or long-term storage rather than using exchanges as their primary wallets.

Implications for Market Liquidity and Price Volatility

The liquidity contraction on centralized platforms could translate into a tighter market where fewer coins are available for immediate trading. This limited availability heightens the risk of price volatility, especially during periods of high demand or market stress. Traders and institutional investors may experience increased slippage, and price discovery could become more sensitive to sizeable buy or sell orders.

Moreover, the rising participation in staking further reduces circulating supply, effectively pulling Ether out of the spendable pool. Analysts suggest that such reduction in liquid supply could catalyze bullish market momentum, despite general market uncertainty.

Broader Context Within Ethereum Ecosystem Evolution

The trend aligns with Ethereum's ongoing transition toward a proof-of-stake consensus model, which incentivizes holders to stake their assets to support network security and earn rewards. This transition not only modifies supply dynamics but also signals increased confidence in Ethereum’s long-term roadmap.

As Ethereum continues to mature, understanding the interplay between staking, custody, and exchange liquidity becomes critical for investors. The current low exchange balances could serve as an early indicator of forthcoming supply constraints, prompting market participants to strategically assess their ETH positions.

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